The political stance that is built on the assumption of an internal upheaval in the United States ignores a fundamental reality: the U.S. administration, regardless of its internal conditions, will remain committed to the constants of its foreign policy, with changes limited to methods only*. Even the isolationist tendency of the current administration will not be absolute; rather, it will primarily serve the illusion of leadership and the monopolization of the role of the sole superpower.
Trump possesses many cards that he can play whenever he chooses.
As for the observation made by the current Secretary-General of the United Nations, António Guterres, regarding the necessity of establishing a multipolar order to prevent the dominance of a single or dual power, it does not reflect an existing reality but rather a possibility still in the process of formation—one that requires time and favorable conditions for this vital prerequisite to be fulfilled. However, the current situation in our Arab-Islamic world does not allow for waiting.
Containing Iran is a priority for Washington and Tel Aviv, and merely issuing warnings about the consequences of an attack is insufficient. We are in urgent need of a strong and effective regional alliance to send a deterrent message to Trump and Tel Aviv; without a serious military alliance, we will not spare ourselves further destruction and weakness.
Research centers such as Carnegie and Brookings indicate that we have yet to learn from the lessons of the past, and that short-sighted, self-interested pragmatism continues to govern our decisions.
* This is confirmed by successive National Security Strategy documents issued by the White House, regardless of the ruling party.
