{"id":13365,"date":"2026-06-30T05:55:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T05:55:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/?p=13365"},"modified":"2026-06-30T05:55:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T05:55:03","slug":"neither-victory-nor-peace-inside-the-us-iran-deal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/?p=13365","title":{"rendered":"Neither victory nor peace: Inside the US-Iran deal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-13366 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/27ea39d2c04d65b2342343404b10d394-169x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"169\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/27ea39d2c04d65b2342343404b10d394-169x300.jpg 169w, https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/27ea39d2c04d65b2342343404b10d394-576x1024.jpg 576w, https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/27ea39d2c04d65b2342343404b10d394.jpg 736w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 169px) 100vw, 169px\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"font-body text-grey-8 font-light text-lg leading-7 md:text-xl md:leading-8\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The US and Iran have stepped back from the brink, but regional tensions and decades of mistrust could still derail a fragile diplomatic opening.<\/div>\n<div class=\"flex m-auto gap-4\">\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Military and diplomatic tensions between the United States and Iran\u00a0<a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.trtworld.com\/article\/6eb18e27923e\" target=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">entered\u00a0<\/a>a new phase on June 18 when the two sides electronically signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding after months of escalating confrontation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Approved by US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, the\u00a0<a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.trtworld.com\/article\/c0be0c2012fb\" target=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">document\u00a0<\/a>is not a final peace agreement. Instead, it serves as a transitional framework intended to pave the way for a more comprehensive deal within the next 60 days.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The days immediately following the signing underscored just how fragile the compromise remains.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Yet the talks quickly exposed the fragility of the agreement.\u00a0<a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.trtworld.com\/article\/e239042f4daf\" target=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">During negotiations<\/a>\u00a0in Switzerland, Iran once again threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, while Donald Trump warned that the United States could resume strikes on Iranian territory if tensions escalated further.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">According to Iranian media reports, Tehran&#8217;s delegation briefly refused to return to the negotiating table following the exchange of threats, with communications continuing through intermediaries.<\/p>\n<div class=\"side-youtube react-renderer node-youtube\" style=\"text-align: left;\" data-id=\"5\" data-type=\"youtube\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"react-component\" data-node-view-wrapper=\"\">\n<div class=\"socialMediaContainer\" contenteditable=\"false\" data-node-view-content=\"\">\n<div draggable=\"false\" data-drag-handle=\"\">\n<div class=\"rsme-embed rsme-youtube-embed\">\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"youtube-iframe\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"widget2\" title=\"Trump insists Iran agreed to nuclear inspections to 'infinity'\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2gZq1k7esEM?enablejsapi=1&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.trtworld.com&amp;widgetid=1&amp;forigin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.trtworld.com%2Farticle%2Fea3b04c7279a&amp;aoriginsup=1&amp;gporigin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.trtworld.com%2F&amp;vf=1\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-18=\"true\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Despite the setback, negotiations remained on track. With mediation from Qatar and Pakistan, the two sides agreed on a roadmap for further talks and began addressing the most contentious issues, including sanctions relief, Iran&#8217;s nuclear program, and regional security arrangements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The\u00a0<a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.trtworld.com\/article\/b6a694b00259\" target=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">memorandum&#8217;s<\/a>\u00a0significance lies less in its immediate provisions than in whether it can be successfully implemented.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Its primary purpose is to shift the US-Iran confrontation\u2014one that in recent months has come close to direct military conflict\u2014back into the diplomatic arena.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Yet the agreement&#8217;s implications extend far beyond bilateral relations. If implemented, it could reshape the regional balance of power and influence the future security order in the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The memorandum focuses on four key areas: maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz, the future parameters of Iran&#8217;s nuclear program, the gradual easing of sanctions, and discussions on a new regional security framework.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The main driver behind the negotiations is a strategic stalemate. Neither Washington nor Tehran has secured a decisive advantage, and the confrontation has become increasingly costly for both sides.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">Both countries have incurred high economic and military costs, making continued escalation less attractive than a negotiated path forward.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">According to Moody&#8217;s Analytics, the US campaign against Iran has cost American taxpayers nearly $132 billion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The estimate includes direct military expenditures as well as the economic impact of higher energy prices, rising commodity costs, and increased borrowing costs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">For Washington, a prolonged conflict meant diverting resources from higher-priority challenges, most notably strategic competition with China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\">For Tehran, continued confrontation placed growing strain on the economy and domestic stability. As a result, both sides increasingly shifted their focus from achieving victory to managing the costs of the conflict.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Strategic outcomes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">For Tehran, the agreement&#8217;s main achievement is not the prospect of sanctions relief or economic concessions. Rather, it has helped avert a direct military confrontation with the United States at a time when escalating tensions were beginning to pose a broader threat to national stability.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">At the same time, Iran has preserved key elements of its deterrence strategy, including its nuclear program as a source of political leverage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">In that sense, Tehran has not resolved its underlying challenges, but it has bought time and created space for future negotiations on more favourable terms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: left;\">The agreement also carries domestic political significance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Link :\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.trtworld.com\/article\/ea3b04c7279a\">https:\/\/www.trtworld.com\/article\/ea3b04c7279a<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US and Iran have stepped back from the brink, but regional tensions and decades of mistrust could still derail a fragile diplomatic opening. Military and diplomatic tensions between the United States and Iran\u00a0entered\u00a0a new phase on June 18 when the two sides electronically signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding after months of escalating confrontation. &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13366,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-policy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.5 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Neither victory nor peace: Inside the US-Iran deal - \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0634\u0631\u0642\u0629<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/natharatmouchrika.net\/home\/?p=13365\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Neither victory nor peace: Inside the US-Iran deal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The US and Iran have stepped back from the brink, but regional tensions and decades of mistrust could still derail a fragile diplomatic opening. 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