Policy

Those Who Rely on a Mirage…

By Afaf Aniba

On the sixth day of the aggression against Iran, several observations must be stated:

First: In Washington they are searching for a way out. Frankly, this does not concern us. They initiated a brutal aggression against a sovereign Muslim state, and this time they will not escape as they did the previous time last June.

Second: Whoever in the West, among the Zionists, or among certain Arabs is betting on chaos and fragmentation within Iran is in fact betting on a mirage. Iran’s geostrategic position does not allow for a crime like the one that occurred in Iraq to be repeated; and, God willing, the Iraqi scenario will not be repeated.

Third: The land distance separating Iran and Russia is about 1690 kilometers, and it is not in Russia’s interest for so-called “creative chaos” to spread into Iran and neighboring states. Turkey will not remain idle either; if war approaches its immediate borders, it will no longer be a distant matter for Ankara—particularly for a state that merely stood by while the genocide in Gaza unfolded.

Iran lies at a strategic crossroads connecting:

* the Gulf
* Central Asia
* the Caucasus
* South Asia

This positioning carries immense strategic significance. For this reason, regional security studies indicate that any comprehensive chaos in Iran would directly affect the interests of major powers such as Russia, Turkey, and China—an assessment reflected in analyses by the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

Fourth: Available indicators suggest that Tel Aviv’s determination to eliminate the ballistic missile threat from Iran has overlooked crucial considerations related to how deeply rooted the Iranian system is and to its capacity for resilience. Since Iran withdrew from the Zionist-Western equation in 1979, it will not return to it, God willing. On the contrary, the Western siege imposed on it has only strengthened its determination to oppose the Zionist-Evangelical Western project.

Iran possesses:

* a large population base
* a domestic industrial and military infrastructure
* a more cohesive state apparatus

What we are witnessing today is a blatant aggression seeking to redraw maps at the expense of realities firmly established on the ground—realities it will not be able to erase. The siege imposed on Iran for more than forty years has, in reality, been a declared war; yet Tehran has not fallen. The Islamic Republic has lived under conditions of continuous hostility, and the system has not collapsed.

According to reports by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank on the Iranian economy, Tehran has managed, despite successive sanctions since the 1980s, to preserve the core institutions of the state.

Despite extremely harsh sanctions—which were among the causes of popular discontent and protests in Iran—the Iranian state has endured. Those who rely on internal dynamics to ignite chaos will encounter popular rejection of being drawn behind the propaganda of aggression. The Iranian domestic arena may indeed desire profound political change—but not at the hands of Zionism or Washington.

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