The state of anticipation we have been experiencing since April 7 reflects the confusion of the U.S. administration in attempting to exit this aggression with minimal losses. A few days ago, a Turkmen president was elected in Iraqi Kurdistan, in a move of significant meaning: all ethnic and sectarian components in Iraq are meant to share in power and in managing the affairs of Iraqi citizens. Ankara’s approval of this election is further evidence of its interest in the Turkmen component; considerations of national affiliation weigh heavily in Turkish policy.
In another context, the UAE’s announcement of its withdrawal from OPEC is another indication of the tension in its relationship with Saudi Arabia. It also shows how the Emirati leadership is more concerned with developing its ties with the Zionist entity and the U.S. administration than with its relations with its neighbors and the rest of the organization’s members.
As for the situation in Mali, it remains unstable, while Iran is strengthening its presence and positioning in a highly sensitive region, awaiting developments that could be either negative or positive for all parties involved. Tehran’s keenness to reach an understanding with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz reflects its sound appreciation of Oman’s regional role; cooperation is preferable to unilateral decision-making at such a critical time.
Has the blockade on Iranian ports achieved its goals? Yes, in the view of Donald Trump and his team—but not in Tehran’s view. Iranian oil continues to be exported, and ships sail along Iran’s southern coast toward the Strait of Hormuz before continuing their journey.
In Europe, energy officials warn of a severe energy crisis if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for two months. They have already begun searching for alternatives, but options are limited due to time constraints. Meanwhile, political discourse tends to reassure Western publics affected by rising energy prices.
Thus, the world appears as though major powers intend it to be a bloody arena of conflict—while the beneficiary is well known.
